Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.317464 0.369691 0.427952 0.497794 0.579296 0.671463 0.783700
2025-02-02 0.243984 0.315173 0.403275 0.520487 0.672631 0.863858 1.123150
2025-02-09 0.203054 0.281591 0.385951 0.535112 0.743492 1.025272 1.437008
2025-02-16 0.172506 0.253411 0.367312 0.539908 0.795943 1.163529 1.734665
2025-02-23 0.147758 0.228085 0.346943 0.536373 0.832362 1.279951 2.013532
2025-03-02 0.125686 0.202727 0.321867 0.520461 0.845460 1.360211 2.245128
2025-03-09 0.114489 0.192294 0.317613 0.535349 0.907256 1.522128 2.627098
2025-03-16 0.102720 0.179053 0.306683 0.537058 0.946378 1.650435 2.968636
2025-03-23 0.094234 0.170074 0.301399 0.547087 1.000100 1.808895 3.382909
2025-03-30 0.083885 0.156365 0.286018 0.536797 1.015443 1.900224 3.685474
2025-04-06 0.075742 0.145575 0.274410 0.531627 1.038962 2.008349 4.032947
2025-04-13 0.069518 0.137580 0.266910 0.533066 1.074833 2.143436 4.450484
2025-04-20 0.066698 0.136009 0.271750 0.559922 1.165776 2.400435 5.158486
2025-04-27 0.063824 0.133994 0.275516 0.585203 1.257153 2.670877 5.936116
2025-05-04 0.060327 0.130215 0.275174 0.601693 1.331848 2.915616 6.692493
2025-05-11 0.056174 0.124497 0.270052 0.607097 1.382828 3.115294 7.375389
2025-05-18 0.051679 0.117468 0.261249 0.603114 1.411969 3.269717 7.974409
2025-05-25 0.046607 0.108515 0.247146 0.585181 1.406322 3.343385 8.389007
2025-06-01 0.044538 0.106237 0.247826 0.601960 1.485380 3.626401 9.364380
2025-06-08 0.041646 0.101658 0.242629 0.603885 1.528272 3.827224 10.158914
2025-06-15 0.039595 0.098862 0.241316 0.615188 1.596078 4.098415 11.178186
2025-06-22 0.036392 0.092830 0.231456 0.603591 1.603317 4.215964 11.798999
2025-06-29 0.033802 0.088051 0.224168 0.597764 1.625059 4.374227 12.556796